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Best Grocery Price Tracker (U.S.)

January 2025 – December 2025

Track grocery price movements, category-level inflation, retailer competitiveness, and product availability across major U.S. grocery retailers using real-time and historical data from 2025.

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Categories Tracked

Grocery

Retailers Covered

12 States Covered

50 Products Tracked

29,533

Monthly Average Price Change Trends (2025)

Monitoring monthly grocery price changes helps understand inflation patterns, seasonal demand, and supply-side pressures throughout the year.

In 2025, grocery prices showed noticeable volatility during the first and third quarters, driven by seasonal consumption cycles, logistics costs, and promotional strategies. Mid-year months experienced relative stabilization, while Q4 reflected upward pressure due to holiday demand.

Average Price Change (%)

Bakery & Bread Price Decrease Trends (7NOW vs Avg)

Bakery & Bread on 7NOW

-7.3%

Avg. Change Across All

0.7%

Monthly Price Change Data (%)

This supports the insight that 7NOW saw the steepest price drop in Dec compared to the overall category trend.

Dry Grocery Price Increase Patterns (Kroger vs Avg)

Dry Grocery on Kroger

3.0%

Avg. Change across all

0.7%

Monthly Price Change Data (%)

Shows Kroger consistently pricing higher than category average, with a Q4 spike.

Grocery Category Price Increase Trends (2025)

Category-level analysis highlights which grocery segments experienced the highest inflationary pressure during 2025.

Fresh food categories were more volatile due to climate impact and supply fluctuations, while packaged and household categories remained relatively stable due to long-term contracts and private-label expansion.

Category-Wise Average Price Change

Retailer-Wide Average Price Trends (2025)

How do you read this chart?

Retailers adopted different pricing strategies in response to inflation, competition, and consumer price sensitivity.

Discount-focused retailers maintained lower price indexes, while premium retailers reflected higher average basket prices due to organic and specialty product mixes.

Retailer Price Index

Retailer Monthly Price Trend Index (2025)

This trend shows how major retailers adjusted pricing throughout the year.

Category-Wide Average Price Trends (2025)

Tracking category-wide price movement over time reveals long-term inflation momentum and seasonal effects.

Staple categories showed steady growth, while protein and fresh produce experienced sharper increases due to supply constraints.

Category Price Index

Product Availability Trends (2025)

Product availability remained strong throughout 2025, with minor disruptions during extreme weather events and peak holiday periods.

Retailers improved replenishment cycles, resulting in faster recovery from short-term stockouts compared to previous years.

Monthly Product Availability %

Average Product Availability

Walmart & Giant Eagle show near-full availability, while 7NOW & Target vary sharply by category.

Top Retailers with Most Competitive Prices (Jan 2025 – Dec 2025)

Retailers are ranked based on the percentage of SKUs priced below the market average.

Competitive Pricing Share

Average Price Change

Most Discounted Categories Across Retailers (Jan 2025 – Dec 2025)

Discount activity was strongest in high-velocity and promotion-driven categories, especially during mid-year sales and the holiday season.

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