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Navratri Mega Sale Price Tracking

Executive Summary

The December travel season triggers some of the highest airfare fluctuations across India–GCC–SEA routes. Airlines adjust fares using dynamic pricing models influenced by demand surges, booking windows, seat availability, departure time, connecting options and competition. For travel companies, OTAs, corporate travel desks and aviation analysts, understanding this volatility is crucial for pricing strategy, customer advisory and revenue planning.

Actowiz Solutions built a real-time airline price intelligence system that tracked thousands of flight prices across India–Dubai, India–Qatar, India–Saudi Arabia, India–Singapore, India–Malaysia and India–Thailand routes. The goal was to identify fare spikes, peak travel windows, OTA-level discrepancies, best booking periods and patterns in budget vs premium airline pricing.

The result is a detailed airline pricing dataset that reveals how fares behave before, during and after the December travel rush.

Background

December is a peak travel month because of:

  • Christmas and New Year holidays
  • International tourism
  • UAE–GCC expat returns
  • School breaks
  • Business closures
  • Event and festival travel
  • Year-end corporate trips

On India–GCC routes (Dubai, Abu Dhabi, Doha, Riyadh, Jeddah), fares fluctuate daily. India–SEA routes (Singapore, Kuala Lumpur, Bangkok, Bali) behave similarly due to tourism demand.

Travel businesses needed better visibility into:

  • Dynamic price movement
  • Weekend vs weekday patterns
  • Time-of-day fare shifts
  • Airline-wise and OTA-wise variations
  • Best booking time frames
  • Minimum and maximum fare ranges
  • Surge windows
  • Seat availability effects

Actowiz Solutions delivered a clear view of December volatility using real-time flight price tracking and structured reporting.

Scope of Work

Navratri Mega Sale Price Tracking
Routes Covered

India → GCC

  • Delhi → Dubai
  • Mumbai → Dubai
  • Bengaluru → Abu Dhabi
  • Kochi → Doha
  • Hyderabad → Riyadh

India → SEA

  • Chennai → Singapore
  • Delhi → Bangkok
  • Mumbai → Kuala Lumpur
  • Bengaluru → Bali
Airlines Tracked
  • Emirates
  • Etihad
  • Qatar Airways
  • Air India
  • Indigo
  • Vistara
  • Singapore Airlines
  • Scoot
  • Malaysia Airlines
  • Thai Airways
  • AirAsia
OTAs & Platforms Monitored
  • MakeMyTrip
  • EaseMyTrip
  • Cleartrip
  • Akbar Travels
  • Skyscanner
  • Google Flights
Data Points Extracted
  • Base fare
  • Final fare after taxes
  • Price per seat
  • Luggage-inclusive vs bare fare
  • Travel class (Economy / Premium / Business)
  • Direct vs connecting flights
  • Time-of-day fare changes
  • Day-on-day price movement
  • Seat availability
  • Surge flags
  • Booking window movement

Actowiz Solutions' Airline Price Tracking Framework

Actowiz Solutions used a multi-layer extraction and intelligence model:

Real-Time Fare Crawlers

Prices refreshed every 30–60 minutes across all tracked routes.

Dynamic Price Change Engine

Captured:

  • Sudden spikes
  • Price drops
  • Flash surges
  • Night vs morning fare differences
  • Weekend multipliers
OTA Price Comparison Layer

Mapped fare differences across:

  • MakeMyTrip
  • EaseMyTrip
  • Cleartrip
  • Akbar Travels
  • Google Flights
  • Skyscanner
Seat Availability Mapping

Flagged flights with:

  • Low seat availability
  • Full flights
  • Peak-season blackout dates
Time-Series Analytics

Built a December-focused trend line showing:

  • Daily minimum
  • Daily maximum
  • Price volatility index

Sample Data Extracted (Illustrative)

Table 1: India → Dubai Price Snapshot (December)
Date Lowest Price Airline OTA Difference Notes
Dec 5 ₹14,200 Indigo ₹700 cheaper on EMT Early demand
Dec 12 ₹18,450 Air India Minor OTA variance Mid-month rise
Dec 20 ₹28,600 Emirates EMT cheaper by ₹1,200 High surge
Dec 26 ₹31,800 Indigo MMT cheaper by ₹900 Peak travel
Dec 30 ₹29,400 Emirates Stable Post-Christmas dip
Table 2: India → Singapore Fare Trends
Date Min Fare Max Fare Surge Factor
Dec 1–10 ₹10,800 ₹16,200 Normal
Dec 11–20 ₹14,500 ₹22,400 +30% surge
Dec 21–31 ₹18,900 ₹28,750 +55% surge
Table 3: OTA-Level Variation Analysis
Route MMT EMT Cleartrip Google Flights
Mumbai → Dubai Best Price Mid High Mid
Delhi → Singapore Mid Best Mid High
Bengaluru → Bali High Mid Best Mid
Kochi → Doha Mid Best Mid Mid
Table 4: Time-of-Day Fare Pattern
Route Morning Afternoon Evening Notes
Mumbai → Dubai Low Mid High Evening surge
Delhi → Bangkok Mid High High Tourism traffic
Chennai → Singapore Low Low Mid Smooth pattern
Bengaluru → Abu Dhabi Mid High High Corporate rush

Key Findings & Insights

A. Evening & Weekend Fares Are the Highest

Across 80% of routes, prices peak:

  • Friday evening
  • Saturday afternoon
  • Sunday night
B. December 15–27 Is the Most Expensive Window

Fares spiked 35–70% depending on route.

C. GCC Routes Surge Earlier Than SEA Routes

Due to expat traffic:

  • First surge: Dec 5–10
  • Second surge: Dec 18–24
D. Budget Airlines Show Steeper Surge

Indigo & AirAsia showed:

  • Higher volatility
  • Faster surge cycles
  • Bigger OTA price gaps

Premium airlines remained relatively stable.

E. OTA Price Differences Can Reach 5–12%

Highest discrepancies found on:

  • Dubai routes
  • Singapore routes
  • Bangkok routes

OTAs also vary in:

  • Convenience fees
  • Add-on charges
  • Extra baggage inclusions
F. Connecting Flights Sometimes Outperform Direct Routes

Especially on:

  • India → Singapore
  • India → Bali
  • India → Kuala Lumpur

Average savings: ₹1,800 – ₹5,500.

G. Seat Availability Directly Controls Surge

Low-seat flights showed:

  • 40–60% price jumps
  • Last-minute spikes
  • Reduced flexibility

Route-Wise Deep Dive Insights

India → Dubai (DXB)
  • One of the most volatile routes
  • Surge peaks on 18–26 December
  • Indigo cheapest; Emirates most stable
India → Singapore (SIN)
  • Tourism-driven spikes
  • Best fares before 10 December
  • Scoot & AirAsia show high volatility
India → Bangkok (BKK)
  • Massive holiday traffic
  • Price drops after 27 December
  • Thailand visa relaxation boosted demand
India → Doha (DOH)
  • Highest mid-month surge
  • Qatar Airways shows lowest fluctuation
India → Bali (DPS)
  • Fares fluctuate by time of day
  • Morning is cheapest
  • Weekends show heavy spike

Actowiz Solutions' Technical Approach

Real-Time Airline Price Intelligence Engine

Tracks tens of thousands of fares hourly.

Dynamic Volatility Index

Measures:

  • Price rise speed
  • Surge duration
  • Frequency of peaks
OTA Comparison Layer

Identifies:

  • Service fee differences
  • Final fare inconsistencies
  • Hidden charges
Seat Availability Tracking

Shows:

  • Low inventory alerts
  • Full-flight flags
  • Booking risk levels
Daily & Weekly Reports

Includes:

  • Trend curves
  • Surge windows
  • Fare drop alerts
Competitive Benchmarking

Comparisons across:

  • Airlines
  • OTAs
  • Route categories

Business Impact

  • OTAs Improved Price Accuracy
  • Better fare feeds resulted in more accurate customer pricing.

  • Travel Agencies Optimized Booking Timelines
  • They advised clients to book 7–12 days earlier, reducing costs.

  • Airlines Understood Competitive Positioning
  • Airlines saw where they stood against peers during festive surges.

  • Corporates Reduced Travel Costs
  • Dynamic alerts prevented last-minute high-fare bookings.

  • Consumers Benefited From Best-Price Alerts
  • Clients created customer-facing offers based on data.

  • Better Holiday Season Planning
  • Data-backed visibility improved revenue strategy.

Why Actowiz Solutions Was the Best Fit

  • Expertise in real-time flight data extraction
  • Ability to track thousands of daily fare updates
  • Multi-OTA comparison accuracy
  • Deep experience with India–GCC–SEA routes
  • Price trend analytics, volatility tracking, and booking window insights
  • Clean, normalized datasets ready for dashboards

Actowiz Solutions remains a trusted partner for travel pricing analytics, airline competitive intelligence, and dynamic fare tracking.

Conclusion

Airline pricing is highly dynamic, especially on India–GCC–SEA routes during the December rush.

With Actowiz Solutions' real-time price intelligence, travel businesses gained:

  • Transparent tracking of fare spikes
  • Understanding of OTA-level differences
  • Predictive insight into booking windows
  • Data-backed surge analysis
  • Clear competitive benchmarking

This case study shows how technology-driven data visibility helps OTAs, TMCs, airlines and travel analysts plan smarter, reduce costs and deliver better experiences.

From Raw Data to Real-Time Decisions

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Look Back Analyze historical data to discover patterns, anomalies, and shifts in customer behavior.

Find Insights Use AI to connect data points and uncover market changes. Meanwhile.

Move Forward Predict demand, price shifts, and future opportunities across geographies.

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competitive benchmarking

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